Thursday, December 11, 2008

NFL Week 15 Picks

New Orleans at Chicago 37-28

Chicago has a decent defense overall, but their cornerbacks can be easily exploited if the opposing quarterback gets time in the pocket. The Saints, on the other hand, with Drew Brees, easily exploit poor secondaries if they get enough. With one of a mediocre pass rush, Chicago, going against the Saints’ great pass blocking, the Saints should have enough time to exploit the Bears secondary, especially since their quarterback is Drew Brees, one of the best in the game at exploiting poor pass defenses.

Fantasy MVP: Drew Brees 330 passing yards 3 touchdowns 1 INT

Tampa Bay at Atlanta 27-31

There isn’t a whole lot of logic in this pick, expect for the fact that the NFC South is 24-2 at home this season and no team has lost a divisional home game. Since this game is an NFC South division game, I’m going to go with the trend take Matt Ryan and the home team Falcons, who are longer for revenge after losing on the road last week.

Fantasy MVP: Matt Ryan 230 passing yards 3 touchdowns 2 INTs

Washington at Cincinnati 31-13

Plain and simple, the Redskins need a win here and a playing one of the worst teams in the league. Expect a blowout here. Clinton Portis will run all over the Bengals to redeem himself after his issue with Coach Jim Zorn last week.

Fantasy MVP: Clinton Portis 140 rushing yards 30 receiving yards 2 touchdowns

Detroit at Indianapolis 7-34 lock pick

The Colts are one of the best teams in the league this year. The Lions are the worst. You do the math. Peyton Manning should have a great game here, as he looks to fluff his stats up for the wide open MVP race.

Fantasy MVP: Peyton Manning 280 passing yards 3 touchdowns O INTs

San Diego at Kansas City 27-20

The Chargers have been inconsistent this year and almost lost to the Chiefs earlier this year. However, the Chargers are in a must win game and the Chiefs aren’t very good so the Chargers are my pick here. It could wind up being closer than the standings or talent disparities behind these teams might predict.

Fantasy MVP: Phillip Rivers 240 passing yards 3 touchdowns 0 INTs

Green Bay at Jacksonville 28-31 upset pick

Both teams under achieved this game and as a result, this match up, which should have had playoff implications, will be two teams playing for bragging rights. The Jags are at home in front of their fans who probably hate them right now, so they’ll come together to beat the Packers, who are really reeling right now.

Fantasy MVP: Maurice Jones Drew 95 rushing yards 60 receiving yards 2 touchdowns

Seattle at St. Louis 24-13

Both teams are very bad, but the Seahawks, with a decent quarterback like Seneca Wallace, should win this game. The ‘Hawks have been close to winning games several times this year, while the Rams get continually blown out and appear to no longer be trying.

Fantasy MVP: Seneca Wallace 230 passing yards 2 touchdowns 2 INTs

San Francisco at Miami 10-28

The 49ers have been on a roll of late and have won several games at home against East coast teams, because they have a major home field advantage in that situation. However, they are going to be at a home field disadvantage this time, traveling to Miami. The Dolphins smell the playoffs and have the talent and the home field necessary to make this a fairly easily win.

Fantasy MVP: Ronnie Brown 105 yards rushing 35 yards receiving 2 touchdowns

Buffalo at NY Jets 13-34

The Jets have been reeling since beating the Titans, but the Bills have been absolutely awful over the past few weeks. The Jets need a win to get right and they should get one here at home against the lowly Bills.

Fantasy MVP: Brett Favre 310 yards passing 3 touchdowns 1 INT

Tennessee at Houston 31-21

The Texans have been doing well lately and should put a bigger fight than expected. However, these are the 12-1 Titans. They won’t lose easily. Their running backs should trample the Texans’ weak run defense.

Fantasy MVP: Chris Johnson 150 yards rushing 30 yards receiving 3 touchdowns

Minnesota at Arizona 24-21 upset pick

Minnesota has their “Wall” back after their suspensions were overruled. They should stop power back Tim Hightower in his tracks and make this a one dimensional team. Their passing game won’t be able to do it alone. Meanwhile, Adrian Peterson and the Vikings’ offense will grind out a tough win.

Fantasy MVP: Adrian Peterson 105 yards rushing 40 yards receiving 2 touchdowns

Denver at Carolina 20-31

After seeing what the Panthers did to the Buccaneers’ great defense last week, imagine what they can do to the Broncos’ horrible run defense. Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams should run wild this week and that will propel the Panthers to a fairly easy victory.

Fantasy MVP: DeAngelo Williams 120 yards rushing 45 yards receiving 3 touchdowns

Pittsburgh at Baltimore 23-17 upset pick, game of the week

Pittsburgh showed last week that they can win the messy game and come from behind. Playing the Ravens, they game should be pretty messy. The Steelers have the advantage on both sides of the ball and their defense should destroy the Ravens’ young offense. Expect the Steelers to force many turnovers and score either directly off of team or indirectly off of them with good field position.

Fantasy MVP: Pittsburgh DEF 3 interceptions, 2 forced fumbles, 1 Def TD, 4 sacks, 17 points allowed

New England at Oakland 24-21

The Pats are banged up at almost every position you can imagine and now it seems as if Matt Cassel might not play due to the death of his father. However, they are still better than the Raiders. The Pats have been on the West Coast since last week’s close call in Seattle, so they won’t be affected by the time difference at all. Expect some obscure player you’ve never heard of lead the Pats to a close victory with a huge play late.

Fantasy MVP: Wes Welker 110 yards receiving 1 touchdown

NY Giants at Dallas 31-28

Both teams didn’t look good last week, however, the Giants have looked better all year. The Giants running game is very good and should be able to lead them to a close, come from behind, road victory against Dallas. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if this went either way.

Fantasy MVP: Tony Romo 280 yards passing 3 touchdowns 2 INTs

Cleveland at Philadelphia 10-31

The Eagles have heated up lately. The Browns are going the other way. It seems like a simple choice between Donovan McNabb and Ken Dorsey, especially when you add in the Eagles’ Brian Westbrook and that great, and greatly under rated, defense.

Fantasy MVP: Philadelphia DEF 3 interceptions, 1 forced fumble, 4 sacks, 10 points allowed

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