Wednesday, December 24, 2008

NFL Week 17 Picks

St. Louis at Atlanta 14-37

The Falcons are playing with the opportunity to win the division here and the Rams haven't been playing in weeks. Seriously, they got tackled by an old man last week. Add in the fact that the Falcons have 10 times more talent than the Rams and this one could get ugly.

Fantasy MVP: Michael Turner 140 yards rushing 30 yards receiving 2 TDs

New England at Buffalo 37-21

The Patriots are on a roll lately and the Bills haven't been a very good team in the past few weeks. Look for the Patriots offense to look like their 2007 offense once again this week and I don't think the Bills will have the offense firepower to match the Patriots and win the game/

Fantasy MVP: Matt Cassel 310 yards passing 3 TDs 1 INT

Kansas City at Cincinnati 13-17

The Chiefs seem to inventing new ways to lose. This might look like a very winable game for a Chiefs team that has looked pretty good for the first 3 quarters of their games this season, but the Bengals have looked pretty good over their past 2 weeks, getting 2 wins. Look for the Chiefs to lose once again.

Fantasy MVP: Cedric Benson 120 yards rushing 40 yards recieving 1 TD

Detroit at Green Bay 20-37

This is the Lions' last chance to win a game and don't think they won't be playing harder that any team this week. However, they just don't have the talent to get it done this year, even against a reeling Packers' team.

Fantasy MVP: Ryan Grant 130 yards rushing 40 yards receiving 2 TDs

Tennessee at Indianapolis 31-34

The Titans have already locked in their #1 seed and they've already beaten the Colts once this year. However, the Colts might be the best team in the league right now the way they are playing. Even though they've already locked in their playoff sport already, they will still be playing for something this week, and come out looking to maintain their momentum as well as get their best win of the season, even if it means Peyton Manning plays the whole games, as opposed to 1 quarter, which he normally does in Week 17.

Fantasy MVP: Peyton Manning 280 yards passing 3 TDs O INTs

NY Giants at Minnesota 27-17

The Giants have also locked in their #1 seed, but that doesn't mean they aren't going to play hard this week. Their team is value around the value that they should play hard every game. They want to keep the momentum going into the playoffs, so don't expect them to be resting their regulars too much. If this game turns into a game of simply which is a better team, which it should with the Giants not taking it easy, the Giants should win fairly easily.

Fantasy MVP: Eli Manning 210 yards passing 2 TDs 1 INT

Carolina at New Orleans 34-35 upset pick

The Panthers are a good team, but I'm not going to go against the trend. No NFC South has lost a division home game all year. I don't know the Saints are going to win it; I just know that somehow they will, even if by a tiny margin.

Fantasy MVP: Drew Bress 410 yards passing 4 TDs 2 INTs

Cleveland at Pittsburgh 6-31 lock pick

The Browns haven't scored an offensive touchdown in over a month and will be attempting to do it with their 4th different quarterback in that stretch of time and against the Steelers' #1 ranked defense. I say the streak continues and the Steelers win this one very easily. After the game, I wouldn't be surprised in Romeo Crennel's bags are sitting in the locker room. He's going to be fired very soon.

Fantasy MVP: Pittsburgh DEF 1 def TD, 4 INT, 1 fumble recovery, 4 Sacks, 6 points allowed

Oakland at Tampa Bay 10-28

The Raiders haven't looked bad lately, especially offensively with JaMarcus Russell having the best 2 game stretch of his young career. However, he did that against 2 mediocre pass defenses, Houston and New England. Don't expect Russell and the rest of the young Raiders to be able to march into Tampa, across 3 time zones, and beat the Bucs, no matter how bad the Bucs have been playing lately.

Fantasy MVP: Warrick Dunn 90 yards rushing 40 yards receiving 2 TDs

Chicago at Houston 21-24 upset pick

The Texans live and die by their offense, especially the pass offense. They should be able to move the ball fairly easy through the air this week against the Bears poor pass defense, in a warm weather game at home. They should be able to ride that all the way to the slim upset.

Fantasy MVP: Matt Schaub 330 yards passing 3 TDs 2 INTs

Jacksonville at Baltimore 13-23

The Jacksonville Jaguars haven't been very good all year and I don't expect that to change this week. The Ravens are playing for the playoffs, so they should be able to easily take care of business and win a very winnable game at home.

Fantasy MVP: Joe Flacco 260 yards passing 1 TD 0 INTs

Washington at San Francisco 17-21 upset pick

The Redskins won last week. However, they can't make the playoffs. Their coach's job has been secured for next year, reportedly, and they have to travel 3 time zones to play the 49ers, who haven't been very kind to vistors from the East Coast this year. The Niners are playing for coach Mike Singletary's job, to be brought back next year as a full time coach, not just an interim, as well as a 7-9 record, which would be a sign of huge progress this season and a very bright future with the 49ers for the first time in a long time.

Fantasy MVP: Shaun Hill 220 yards passing 2 TDs 0 INTs

Miami at NY Jets 24-27 upset pick

I still like Brett here. He is going to be playing in a cold enviorment with a bad shoulder, but he's still Brett Favre. You can't bet against him in huge games like this, especially against teams that aren't used to playing in the cold. He should be able to light up the Dolphins poor pass defense, their Achilles Heel, and have his best game in months.

Fantasy MVP: Brett Favre 280 yards passing 3 TDs 2 INTs

Dallas at Philadelphia 38-31

Logic says don't pick the Cowboys in December. Logic says don't pick against the Eagles in December. Logic says don't pick the Cowboys in a big game, especially a season finale, they haven't won one since 1999. However, the Cowboys are the better team here and with both teams coming off losses, neither has the momentum. I expect talent to prevail over the trends and the logic.

Fantasy MVP: Brian Westbrook 100 yards rushing 70 yards receiving 2 TDs

Seattle at Arizona 21-13 upset pick

The Cardinals are already in the playoffs and haven't been playing very well lately so don't expect them to play anywhere near their best ball. I have a feeling the Seahawks, who are heating up lately, will win here and send Mike Holmgren out with a win. Senaca Wallace should be able to torch the Cards' poor secondary and that'll be enough to win.

Fantasy MVP: Seneca Wallace 270 yards passing 2 TDs 0 INTs

Denver at San Diego 21-27 game of the week

It has come down to this. The Chargers back in Denver for revenge, Hochuli nowhere in sight, in what is pretty much a one game playoffs, winner goes to the playoffs, loser does not. The Chargers should be able to close out the semi-miracle comeback at home. The better team will win here, as they should have last time these two met, way back in week 2.

Fantasy MVP: LaDainian Tomlinson 115 yards rushing 40 yards receiving 2TDs

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