NFL Week 17 Picks

St. Louis at Atlanta 14-37

The Falcons are playing with the opportunity to win the division here and the Rams haven't been playing in weeks. Seriously, they got tackled by an old man last week. Add in the fact that the Falcons have 10 times more talent than the Rams and this one could get ugly.

Fantasy MVP: Michael Turner 140 yards rushing 30 yards receiving 2 TDs

New England at Buffalo 37-21

The Patriots are on a roll lately and the Bills haven't been a very good team in the past few weeks. Look for the Patriots offense to look like their 2007 offense once again this week and I don't think the Bills will have the offense firepower to match the Patriots and win the game/

Fantasy MVP: Matt Cassel 310 yards passing 3 TDs 1 INT

Kansas City at Cincinnati 13-17

The Chiefs seem to inventing new ways to lose. This might look like a very winable game for a Chiefs team that has looked pretty good for the first 3 quarters of their games this season, but the Bengals have looked pretty good over their past 2 weeks, getting 2 wins. Look for the Chiefs to lose once again.

Fantasy MVP: Cedric Benson 120 yards rushing 40 yards recieving 1 TD

Detroit at Green Bay 20-37

This is the Lions' last chance to win a game and don't think they won't be playing harder that any team this week. However, they just don't have the talent to get it done this year, even against a reeling Packers' team.

Fantasy MVP: Ryan Grant 130 yards rushing 40 yards receiving 2 TDs

Tennessee at Indianapolis 31-34

The Titans have already locked in their #1 seed and they've already beaten the Colts once this year. However, the Colts might be the best team in the league right now the way they are playing. Even though they've already locked in their playoff sport already, they will still be playing for something this week, and come out looking to maintain their momentum as well as get their best win of the season, even if it means Peyton Manning plays the whole games, as opposed to 1 quarter, which he normally does in Week 17.

Fantasy MVP: Peyton Manning 280 yards passing 3 TDs O INTs

NY Giants at Minnesota 27-17

The Giants have also locked in their #1 seed, but that doesn't mean they aren't going to play hard this week. Their team is value around the value that they should play hard every game. They want to keep the momentum going into the playoffs, so don't expect them to be resting their regulars too much. If this game turns into a game of simply which is a better team, which it should with the Giants not taking it easy, the Giants should win fairly easily.

Fantasy MVP: Eli Manning 210 yards passing 2 TDs 1 INT

Carolina at New Orleans 34-35 upset pick

The Panthers are a good team, but I'm not going to go against the trend. No NFC South has lost a division home game all year. I don't know the Saints are going to win it; I just know that somehow they will, even if by a tiny margin.

Fantasy MVP: Drew Bress 410 yards passing 4 TDs 2 INTs

Cleveland at Pittsburgh 6-31 lock pick

The Browns haven't scored an offensive touchdown in over a month and will be attempting to do it with their 4th different quarterback in that stretch of time and against the Steelers' #1 ranked defense. I say the streak continues and the Steelers win this one very easily. After the game, I wouldn't be surprised in Romeo Crennel's bags are sitting in the locker room. He's going to be fired very soon.

Fantasy MVP: Pittsburgh DEF 1 def TD, 4 INT, 1 fumble recovery, 4 Sacks, 6 points allowed

Oakland at Tampa Bay 10-28

The Raiders haven't looked bad lately, especially offensively with JaMarcus Russell having the best 2 game stretch of his young career. However, he did that against 2 mediocre pass defenses, Houston and New England. Don't expect Russell and the rest of the young Raiders to be able to march into Tampa, across 3 time zones, and beat the Bucs, no matter how bad the Bucs have been playing lately.

Fantasy MVP: Warrick Dunn 90 yards rushing 40 yards receiving 2 TDs

Chicago at Houston 21-24 upset pick

The Texans live and die by their offense, especially the pass offense. They should be able to move the ball fairly easy through the air this week against the Bears poor pass defense, in a warm weather game at home. They should be able to ride that all the way to the slim upset.

Fantasy MVP: Matt Schaub 330 yards passing 3 TDs 2 INTs

Jacksonville at Baltimore 13-23

The Jacksonville Jaguars haven't been very good all year and I don't expect that to change this week. The Ravens are playing for the playoffs, so they should be able to easily take care of business and win a very winnable game at home.

Fantasy MVP: Joe Flacco 260 yards passing 1 TD 0 INTs

Washington at San Francisco 17-21 upset pick

The Redskins won last week. However, they can't make the playoffs. Their coach's job has been secured for next year, reportedly, and they have to travel 3 time zones to play the 49ers, who haven't been very kind to vistors from the East Coast this year. The Niners are playing for coach Mike Singletary's job, to be brought back next year as a full time coach, not just an interim, as well as a 7-9 record, which would be a sign of huge progress this season and a very bright future with the 49ers for the first time in a long time.

Fantasy MVP: Shaun Hill 220 yards passing 2 TDs 0 INTs

Miami at NY Jets 24-27 upset pick

I still like Brett here. He is going to be playing in a cold enviorment with a bad shoulder, but he's still Brett Favre. You can't bet against him in huge games like this, especially against teams that aren't used to playing in the cold. He should be able to light up the Dolphins poor pass defense, their Achilles Heel, and have his best game in months.

Fantasy MVP: Brett Favre 280 yards passing 3 TDs 2 INTs

Dallas at Philadelphia 38-31

Logic says don't pick the Cowboys in December. Logic says don't pick against the Eagles in December. Logic says don't pick the Cowboys in a big game, especially a season finale, they haven't won one since 1999. However, the Cowboys are the better team here and with both teams coming off losses, neither has the momentum. I expect talent to prevail over the trends and the logic.

Fantasy MVP: Brian Westbrook 100 yards rushing 70 yards receiving 2 TDs

Seattle at Arizona 21-13 upset pick

The Cardinals are already in the playoffs and haven't been playing very well lately so don't expect them to play anywhere near their best ball. I have a feeling the Seahawks, who are heating up lately, will win here and send Mike Holmgren out with a win. Senaca Wallace should be able to torch the Cards' poor secondary and that'll be enough to win.

Fantasy MVP: Seneca Wallace 270 yards passing 2 TDs 0 INTs

Denver at San Diego 21-27 game of the week

It has come down to this. The Chargers back in Denver for revenge, Hochuli nowhere in sight, in what is pretty much a one game playoffs, winner goes to the playoffs, loser does not. The Chargers should be able to close out the semi-miracle comeback at home. The better team will win here, as they should have last time these two met, way back in week 2.

Fantasy MVP: LaDainian Tomlinson 115 yards rushing 40 yards receiving 2TDs

NFL Week 16 Power Rankings

Awful

32. Detroit Lions 0-14: I’m running out of things to say about them. They are just that awful. They won’t win this season, but as the Falcons showed last off season, it’s easy to turn around a team with a good off season. With Matt Millen no longer leading this team, anything is possible, especially since they have 2 first round draft picks.

31. St. Louis Rams 2-12: They don’t have a very bright future, winning 4 games combined in the last few years, but they could at least look like the care and try out there. This team is a mess, as evidenced by their loss to the Seahawks who only have 3 wins of their own.

30. Cincinnati Bengals 2-11: The Bengals won a game last week in an upset, but this is still a mess of a team. They can’t run, they can’t pass, at least no with Carson Palmer, and their defense is still not very good. One top wide receiver wants out; the other one will probably leave as a free agent.

Better luck next year

29. Kansas City Chiefs 2-12: The Chiefs just can’t catch a break, losing so many close games this year that they should have won. The blown 21-3 to the Chargers is just a glimpse at what this season has been like for the Chiefs. Carl Peterson is gone as GM and that’s a good thing. They also have some great young talent for the future, coming off what is still a great draft back in April, with another top draft pick coming up, and a good signal caller in Tyler Thigpen.

28. Seattle Seahawks 3-11: This team won last week, getting a close victory over the awful Rams. However, this is still a very disappointing season, especially in Mike Holmgren’s final season. Holmgren might not be done yet though. Don’t count out a comeback, rumored to be interested in a front office job with his home town Niners. I don’t think this is how Holmgren wants to go out, even if he said before the season that he wants to retire after the year to spend more time with his family.

27. Oakland Raiders 3-11: The Raiders are not a good team by any means, and a lot of that can be traced back to the offensive line as well as shortsighted moves by the owner and the rest of the front office. I mean you know something’s wrong when you score the most points you’ve scored all season in a 23 point loss, as they did against the Pats last week. However, I give them credit for their ability to pull out random upsets, otherwise they might be looking at 0-16 as well.

26. Cleveland Browns 4-10: This team is a mess right now with Ken Dorsey leading the offensive unit that recently scored its first offensive touchdown in nearly a month in the fourth quarter of a game in which they trailed 30-3 at the time. However, they have some hope the future. They are expected to come back with a new fulltime quarterback, Brady Quinn over Derek Anderson, who likely gets traded, as well as a new running back, with Jamal Lewis likely on the way out, and likely a new coach as it will take a “miracle” to save Romeo Crennel’s job. That will be very interesting as they look to prove this year, in which they have lost double digits, is the fluke, rather than their 2007 season, in which they won double digits. Right now, that one looks like the fluke, but they could prove me wrong.

Looking forward to a top ten draft pick

25. Jacksonville Jaguars 5-9: This team is easily one of the most disappointing this year. With their talent, they should have won more than 5 games. This just goes to show that a combination of overly high expectations and lack of a passing game in a warm weather home stadium don’t mix.

24. Green Bay Packers 5-9: The wheels officially fell off this team with their loss to Jacksonville. This team is a complete mess right now, despite the fact that Aaron Rodgers has played very well this season, with a higher passer rating than Brett Favre. However, even though their problem has been run offense and defense, Aaron Rodgers is still going to take the bulk of the blame.

23. Buffalo Bills 6-8: This team will make the short list of teams that finished 4-0 and failed to make the playoffs and they’ll probably fail to make the playoffs by a large margin. They play the Broncos and Patriots to close out the season, two not so fun games for them, so they could easily end up going 6-10, including 1-9 in their last 10, and miss the playoffs by 4 or 5 games.

Probably not a playoff team

22. San Francisco 49ers 5-9: The Niners don’t have a very good record, but should have won last week, as well as earlier this season against Arizona. This is a team that should be hovering around .500 and for this team, that’s a huge start on what’s shaping up to be a future that’s brightening everyday under Mike Singletary.

21. San Diego Chargers 6-8: They are still hanging in there after a miracle comeback against the Kansas City Chiefs. They have had an awful season, but if a few things go right this week, most notably the team going into Tampa and pulling off the upset, as well as Denver losing to Buffalo, it sets up a week 17 match up between the Chargers and Broncos and a playoff spot. More than likely, they won’t make the playoffs, but they have yet to be mathematically eliminated and with the talent that they have on their team, remember this is the same team, with the same players at least, that was some people’s Super Bowl favorites before the season, they are a dangerous team.

20. New Orleans Saints 7-7: Drew Brees has officially dropped out of the MVP race it looks like, seeing as he has this nasty habit of throwing the ball to the wrong team in the clutch. He has good stats, but he’s also part of the reason the Saints are 7-7. You can’t blame it all on injuries and the defense. The quarterback is somewhat at fault here. This could easily be a 9-5 if it wasn’t for late collapses against Tampa and Chicago.

Making some noise

19. Washington Redskins 7-7: Jim Zorn recently called himself the worst coach in the world. Now there are some people calling for him to lose his job. Still, remember, this guy was the one who got them out to that hot start and turned Jason Campbell into a winner. The team has definitely declined, but that has more to do with Clinton Portis struggling, which I don’t think you can trace back to a quarterback’s coach.

18. Houston Texans 7-7: Imagine where this team would be if Schaub to Johnson was healthy all year. That is one of the most underrated and deadliest quarterback-wide receiver combos in the league. Nonetheless, they are still in a position where they can finish with a winning record, for the first time in franchise history, which for this team would be huge. They have a great future ahead of them.

Close, but no cigar

17. Chicago Bears 8-6: The Bears need the Vikings to lose out to win the division and make the playoffs, which, with the way they’ve been playing lately isn’t likely. If that happens, then the Bears would still need to win their last two, which is possible, but still, I don’t like their playoff chances.

16. Philadelphia Eagles 8-5-1: It must be that time of the year again because the Eagles won’t lose. However, it looks like they have to win out to make the playoffs so they better hope this streak continues. In the playoffs, I wouldn’t like their chances, because of their inability to score in the red zone or convert on 3rd and short.

15. Miami Dolphins 9-5: The Dolphins seem to be in good position, with an easy game this week and a game upcoming week 17 against the Jets, which could be for the division. However, I don’t like their chances against the Jets, and look out for those Chiefs. They are an interesting upset choice for this week, which is bad news because, in that division, the Dolphins can’t afford a loss. A loss would mean that it would take prayers to get into the playoffs.

On the playoff bubble

14. NY Jets 9-5: The Jets won last week, but it took a miracle. Something isn’t right which is why the Pats become the new favorites in the AL East. The Jets are still very much alive though.

13. Atlanta Falcons 9-5: The Falcons are currently out of the playoff picture if the season were to end deadly. They face an uphill battle and need to win out and Dallas to lose at least one. Next up, a trip to Minnesota as their Achilles heel, the run defense, looks to stop AP and the Vikings.

12. New England Patriots 9-5: The Pats didn’t look good last week defensively, giving up 26 to the Raiders. However, they have a cakewalk of a schedule over these last two weeks and control their own fate. I’d rather be in their position that the Dolphins, who are on the outside looking in, and the Jets who look somewhat of a mess right now.

11. Dallas Cowboys 9-5: Huge win last week against the Giants, but they’ve still got their work cut out to make the playoffs. They have two tough games coming up, Philadelphia and Baltimore so they can’t afford to collapse. I can’t see them getting any higher than the 2nd wild card because of the fact that Tampa’s last two games are against the Chargers and Raiders.

Playoffs and maybe more

10. Denver Broncos 8-6: They might end up being the worst team to make the playoffs. They are going to get rolled by anyone with a running game, which is every playoff team. However, with the Chargers in a bad position below them, they are likely going to make the playoffs, even if they don’t do anything good once there.

9. Arizona Cardinals 8-6: The rebirth of the Greatest Show on Turf has been rolled to the turf over the past few weeks. They aren’t going to do much better than the Broncos come playoffs time, but thanks to a weak division, they already have clinched their playoff ticket.

8. Minnesota Vikings 9-5: If Tavaris Jackson keeps playing like this, it would give them a true signal caller and if that’s the case, look out. This is a Super Bowl contender. However, that probably isn’t the case, but even if it isn’t AP could win them a playoff game or two by himself, along with this stout defense.

Dark horses

7. Baltimore Ravens 9-5: They Ravens very easily could have won that last game against the Steelers, and probably should have judging from the looks of that “touchdown” replay. However, all they look is the chance to win the division. This team is exactly as dangerous to playoff teams as they were last week and with this experienced defense, that’s very, very dangerous.

6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-5: The Buccaneers have lost two in a row, but they both have been on the road to tough division rivals. It may have raised some concerns and questions, most notably whether or not their run defense is as good as believed. However, they should take these last 2 games, San Diego and Oakland, to get right and go into the playoffs as a dangerous team that you shouldn’t sleep on, especially if Jeff Garcia comes back 100%.

5. Indianapolis Colts 10-4: Tell me if this sounds dangerous. Peyton Manning and the Colts coming into the playoffs with a 9 game winning streak, and a bunch of people sleeping on them. That could very well end up being the case. This team should be the single most feared team by any playoff team right now and they’re not. Dwight Freeney is healthy, Bob Sanders, is healthy, Peyton Manning is healthy, Marvin Harrison is getting there. This team is as good, if not better because of the fact that they’re sneaking up on people, than the one that won the Super Bowl in 2007.

Elite Runner Ups

4. New York Giants 11-3: The Giants have to be worried. Their 6-5 red zone target has a self afflicted gunshot wound in his leg, and huge legal issues, and their 260 pound short yardage back is not 100% if he plays at all. Eli Manning has been exposed and looks like his early 2007 self again. They play the Panthers for the NFC regular season title this week, so they could very well lose 3 straight. If they don’t get things right, they could lose before the conference finals. Most likely they will though and they’ll get another shot at Carolina in the Conference Finals if they lose to them this week.

3. Carolina Panthers 11-3: Before we crown them Super Bowl champs, they still have to beat the Giants twice, in my opinion, the first time to ensure that the second one will be at home, where they are undefeated, and the second time to make the Super Bowl. However, they look really good right now and a win against the Giants could shoot them up this chart even more.

2. Tennessee Titans 12-2: They still only have 2 losses, but losing to Houston, combined with losing both Kyle Vanden Bosch and Albert Haynesworth, made this a very bad week for them. The Steelers couldn’t be coming to town at a worse time for them.

Favorite

1. Pittsburgh Steelers 11-3: Regardless of whether or not they deserved to win against Baltimore, they did and they look like the type of team that can win anywhere, against anyone. That is the single most important aspect of a team going into the playoffs.